Five interesting things that Hodges Capital research analysts discovered this week...
#1 INFLATION: In October, the U.S. Purchasing Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.6%, indicating that higher prices are continuing well into the final quarter of 2021. While many disruptions to supply chains are expected to moderate in the coming months, our conversations with corporate management teams have suggested that inflation could be stickier than many economists forecast.
#2 GOLF TRENDS: Year to date, the rounds played of golf in the U.S., Japan, and Korea are up between 8-15% through September. In the U.S. specifically, rounds played are up 8% over last year and up over 18% versus 2019 levels, which should bode well for golf-related equipment. Also, golfer engagement levels are high, and trade partners are successfully adapting to golf’s evolving new normal.
#3 SPORTS BETTING MOMENTUM: So far in 2021, 25 state legislatures have introduced legislation to legalize mobile sports betting, five state legislatures have introduced legislation to expand their existing sports betting frameworks, and two states have introduced legislation to legalize sports betting limited to retail locations.
#4 JOBS GALORE: According to Empirical Research partners, labor markets are challenged with 10.0 million job openings and only 7.5 million unemployed people to fill the roles. The gap is even wider when excluding those who are temporarily laid off.
#5 SMALL-CAPS = BIG DISCOUNT: Credit Suisse published a report this week illustrating that Small-Cap stocks now trade at a multiple that is a -5.6X discount to Large-Caps, which is the cheapest they have been in more than a decade. The report also indicated that Small-Caps have historically traded at a 1.3X premium to Large-Caps.
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This discussion is not intended to be a forecast of future events and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible. Investing in smaller companies involves additional risks such as limited liquidity and greater volatility. No current or prospective client should assume that information referenced in this communication is a recommendation to buy or sell any security or is a substitute for personalized investment advice from your individual advisor. HCM does not provide tax or legal advice. Consult your tax or legal advisor for any related questions.
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