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Hodges Friday Fast Five

"In the investment business, you go to school every day, but never graduate." - Don Hodges

 

Friday Fast Five - 12/15/2023

by Hodges Investment Team, on December 15, 2023

Five interesting things that Hodges Capital research analysts discovered this week...

#1 CRUDE REALITY: According to the latest data from the Energy Information Administration, the US is now producing more oil than ever before. US oil production has surpassed pre-pandemic levels, reaching 13.2 million barrels per day. As a result, the US makes up an estimated 15% of the World's oil production. Texas contributes 40% of the US crude production and would be the World's fourth largest producer if it were a standalone nation.

#2 INTEREST COSTS VS. DEFENSE SPENDING: This week, a report from Strategas Research highlighted that net interest costs on the Nation's debt exceeded defense spending in November, which had not happened in more than twenty years. Interest costs reached 15.8% of tax revenue in November.      

#3 RED METAL: Recent conversions with a large buyer of raw copper cathode have suggested that the physical copper supplies in North America remain tight as copper prices have moved modestly higher over the past month to around $2.77/lb. A tight supply of copper is likely a function of lower capital investment among miners in recent years and low inventories stemming from uncertain global economic conditions.      

#4 MARKET SENTIMENT: AAII Bullish sentiment ticked down last week while bearish sentiment rose and neutral sentiment fell. As a contrarian indicator, such changes in public opinion are often viewed as constructive for stock prices to move higher.  

#5 RV SALES: As reported by Stephens, RV sales through October remain down, with towable unit sales down 12.3% from a year ago and Motorized unit sales down 15.6% from a year ago.  

 

 

 HCM is an Investment Advisory Firm registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), is a wholly owned subsidiary of Hodges Capital Holdings and serves as investment advisor to the Hodges Funds. HCM is affiliated with First Dallas Securities, Inc, a broker-dealer, and investment advisor registered with the SEC.

This discussion is not intended to be a forecast of future events and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible. Investing in smaller companies involves additional risks such as limited liquidity and greater volatility. No current or prospective client should assume that information referenced in this communication is a recommendation to buy or sell any security or is a substitute for personalized investment advice from your individual advisor. HCM does not provide tax or legal advice. Consult your tax or legal advisor for any related questions.

All information referenced herein is from sources believed to be reliable and is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. This material was created for informational purposes only and the opinions expressed are solely those of HCM. HCM shall not in any way be liable for claims and makes no expressed or implied representations or warranties as to the accuracy or completeness of the data and other information. The data and information are provided as of the date referenced and are subject to change without notice.

Hodges Friday Fast Five

We aim to help investors separate the news from the noise by providing our perspective. Every Friday the Hodges Capital research analysts list the five most interesting things they discovered that week. Subscribe to receive the Hodges Friday Fast Five in your inbox every Friday. 

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