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Hodges Friday Fast Five

"In the investment business, you go to school every day, but never graduate." - Don Hodges

 

Friday Fast Five - 11/10/2023

by Hodges Investment Team, on November 10, 2023

Five interesting things that Hodges Capital research analysts discovered this week...

#1 CHARGE IT: According to a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Americans collectively owe $1.08 trillion on their credit cards. Credit card balances spiked in the third quarter by $154 billion (16.6%) year over year, marking the largest increase since 1999. Credit card delinquency rates also rose across the board, especially among millennials, or borrowers between the ages of 30 and 39, burdened by high levels of student loan debt.

#2 EARNINGS UPDATE: With 81% of S&P 500 companies having reported earnings thus far, the blended earnings growth rate for the quarter is 3.7%. Also, nearly 80% of firms that have reported have outperformed consensus earnings estimates, significantly above the long-term average. (Capital Wealth Planning)

#3 TOO MUCH TIME ON MY HANDS: According to a new Gallup poll, over half of U.S. teenagers (ages 13-19) say they spend at least four hours a day on social media sites and apps such as TikTok, YouTube, and Instagram. Overall, the average time spent per day is 4.8 hours. By age, 13-year-olds report spending the lowest average time at 4.1 hours and 17-year-olds the most at 5.8 hours. (Hedgeye)

#4 WE’RE GOING STREAKING: After October 27th, the S&P 500 had eight successive up days for performance. A 9-day run has happened 31 times in the last 95 years (every 1.5 years), but not since 2004. Winning streaks from 9 to 12 days double in rarity with each additional day, while streaks of 13 and 14 have each only occurred once. (Deutsche Bank)

#5 HIGH AND TIGHT: Banks tightened lending standards for U.S. businesses and households in the third quarter, but the pace of change appeared to ease, and demand for loans fell broadly in a sign of the impact higher interest rates are having on the economy, the Federal Reserve reported on Monday. While more than half of banks reported tightening business lending standards in the second quarter, only 35% said they tightened further in the third quarter, with about 62% keeping standards the same. The tightening of standards for business loans applied to firms of all sizes, while consumers faced tighter credit for home and home equity loans, credit cards, and tougher terms on auto loans. The average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate home mortgage rose sharply through the summer and fall and, at more than 7.7%, has hit levels not seen in nearly a quarter of a century. (Reuters)





 

 HCM is an Investment Advisory Firm registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), is a wholly owned subsidiary of Hodges Capital Holdings and serves as investment advisor to the Hodges Funds. HCM is affiliated with First Dallas Securities, Inc, a broker-dealer, and investment advisor registered with the SEC.

This discussion is not intended to be a forecast of future events and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible. Investing in smaller companies involves additional risks such as limited liquidity and greater volatility. No current or prospective client should assume that information referenced in this communication is a recommendation to buy or sell any security or is a substitute for personalized investment advice from your individual advisor. HCM does not provide tax or legal advice. Consult your tax or legal advisor for any related questions.

All information referenced herein is from sources believed to be reliable and is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. This material was created for informational purposes only and the opinions expressed are solely those of HCM. HCM shall not in any way be liable for claims and makes no expressed or implied representations or warranties as to the accuracy or completeness of the data and other information. The data and information are provided as of the date referenced and are subject to change without notice.

Hodges Friday Fast Five

We aim to help investors separate the news from the noise by providing our perspective. Every Friday the Hodges Capital research analysts list the five most interesting things they discovered that week. Subscribe to receive the Hodges Friday Fast Five in your inbox every Friday. 

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