Hodges Fast Five

Friday Fast Five - 8/9/2024

Written by Hodges Investment Team | August 9, 2024

Five interesting things that Hodges Capital research analysts discovered this week...

#1 MORTGAGE APPS: Mortgage application volume rose 6.9% last week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Index, the highest seasonally adjusted level since January. Moreover, contract rates for a 30-year conforming mortgage declined to 6.55% from 6.82%.

#2 TEXAS WATER: The State of Texas recently announced plans to invest more than $3.0B in water and wastewater projects throughout the state. The projects are funded through the Texas Water Development Board’s Clean Water State Revolving Fund. 

#3 TRUCK ORDERS: ACT Research released data showing preliminary class 8 truck orders declined 13% year-over-year in July. Orders moderated for the second consecutive month as carriers deal with a weak freight environment and economic uncertainty.

#4 MARKET VOLATILITY & ELECTION DAY: A study published by Strategas has shown that market volatility, as measured by the VIX, correlates with the outcome of the last eight presidential elections. Strategas found that the incumbent party won when the VIX peaked in July or August and lost when the VIX peaked within a month of Election Day.     

#5 AI MILLIONAIRES: A report from Valens Research this week indicated that market mania surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) had created 500,000 new millionaires (587 per day) since the launch of ChatGPT in late 2022. 

 

 HCM is an Investment Advisory Firm registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), is a wholly owned subsidiary of Hodges Capital Holdings and serves as investment advisor to the Hodges Funds. HCM is affiliated with First Dallas Securities, Inc, a broker-dealer, and investment advisor registered with the SEC.

This discussion is not intended to be a forecast of future events and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible. Investing in smaller companies involves additional risks such as limited liquidity and greater volatility. No current or prospective client should assume that information referenced in this communication is a recommendation to buy or sell any security or is a substitute for personalized investment advice from your individual advisor. HCM does not provide tax or legal advice. Consult your tax or legal advisor for any related questions.

All information referenced herein is from sources believed to be reliable and is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. This material was created for informational purposes only and the opinions expressed are solely those of HCM. HCM shall not in any way be liable for claims and makes no expressed or implied representations or warranties as to the accuracy or completeness of the data and other information. The data and information are provided as of the date referenced and are subject to change without notice.